In early November, the Royal Canadian Mint struck for the first time legal tender palladium coins. The Royal Canadian Mint is one of the world’s premier mints, and the Palladium Maple Leafs ad to the Mint’s stellar line of coins. (The Mint’s Gold Maple Leafs are the world’s best-selling 24-karat gold bullion coins.) The first run of Palladium Maple Leafs will be dated 2005 and limited to 40,000 coins.
Only one size of Palladium Maple Leaf coins will be minted: a one ounce coin with a legal tender value of $50. The coins will be 99.95% pure, which is standard for palladium investment products, including the popular Credit Suisse 1-oz bars and the PAMP 1-oz bars.
Palladium Maple Leaf coins will be individually sealed in thermatron, in strips of ten coins. The new coins are the only legal tender palladium bullion coins being minted by a major government mint.
The 2005-dated Palladium Maple Leaf coins stand a chance of achieving collector premiums with only 40,000 being minted. That is because the 40,000 2005-dated coins probably will turn out to be a small mintage relative to years during which the coins will be minted for twelve months.
However, buyers looking for Palladium Maple Leafs to pick up collector premiums need to be aware that there is not a good history of palladium coins appealing to collectors. Yet before the first shipment of Palladium Maple Leaf coins was made, one major wholesaler had already sold most of its allotment.
Palladium is a member of a six-metal group called the Platinum Group Metals and is a by-product of platinum and nickel mining. Because palladium has similar chemical characteristics to platinum, it is often used as a substitute for platinum when cost effective to do so.
The primary demand for palladium is the manufacture of catalytic converters for auto emissions control. Other uses include electronics, dental, chemical, and jewelry. The palladium market is relatively small compared with the markets for gold, silver, and platinum, the best-known and most popular precious metals investments.
Investors who like palladium should move quickly to get a position in 2005-dated Palladium Maple Leafs. The coins are being offered at lower premiums than the Credit Suisse 1-oz palladium bars and the PAMP 1-oz palladium bars, and coins stand an outside chance of picking up collector premiums.
Socially responsible investing is all the rage these days. By some estimates, more than $2 trillion, or 12% of professional management assets, target socially responsible companies. Shareholders have invested more than $150 billion in socially oriented mutual funds.
These are funds, or managed accounts, that avoid investing in “sin” stocks, such as tobacco, alcohol, gambling or defense (war) companies. They are proactive in supporting companies favoring environmental- or labor-friendly relations.
Take the Sierra Club Stock Fund (SCFSX), for example. It severely limits its stock selection to companies that meet certain “environmental and social criteria” and won’t invest in oil, coal or nuclear power companies, or firms that make tobacco or weapons. Or, the Timothy Plan Large/Mid-Cap Growth Fund (TLGAX), part of America’s first pro-life, pro-family, biblically-based mutual fund group. The website states, “If you are concerned with the moral issues (abortion, pornography, anti-family entertainment, non-married lifestyles, alcohol, tobacco and gambling) that are destroying children and families you have come to the right place.”
Social advocates argue that it’s a “myth” that you have to sacrifice return in order to invest according to your moral values.
Is this true? Can social funds perform well, and perhaps even outperform the market?
I decided to put this issue to the test, and today, we’ll find out what kind of returns one can expect to get with socially responsible funds.
“Value” Investing May Not Be a Bargain
Comparing the Sierra Fund and the Timothy Fund over the past two years, a period which has seen both bull and bear markets. Let’s see which did better, compared to the S&P 500 Index.
The results show that the Timothy Fund under-performed the market, while the Sierra Club Stock Fund slightly outperformed the overall market index. According to Morningstar, the Timothy Fund rates two stars (out of five), while the Sierra Fund rates four stars. (In case you think I’ve cherry-picked these social funds, you might compare the returns of other such funds - I found no social funds that clearly and consistently beat the market over time.)
The next question: How well do the social funds perform compared to “sin” stocks?
Fortunately, we can answer this question today. Since August 2003, the Vice Fund (VICEX) has focused exclusively on investing in tobacco, alcohol, gambling and defense stocks, all considered anathema to the socially responsible crowd.
Let’s compare the performance of the Sierra Club Stock Fund and the Vice Fund over the past two years.
Here the results are quite startling. The sinful Vice Fund clearly outperforms the virtuous Sierra Club Fund!
This conclusion reminds me of the scandalous work The Fable of the Bees, written in 1714 by Bernard Mandeville, a Dutch psychiatrist and pamphleteer. He tells the story of a community, thriving “grumbling hive,” that turns “honest” and abandons its wicked ways, spendthrift habits and wars against its neighbors. As result, the group is swiftly reduced to poverty and destruction after converting to a moral community.
Mandeville’s infamous paradox leads to the ironic conclusion that private vice leads to public virtue, “and that the moment evil ceases, the society must be spoiled.”
In 2005, Mandeville is proven right again!
The lesson for investors is not as controversial: If you wish to maximize your profits, don’t limit your investment choices. If you choose to make value judgments on which stocks you are going to invest in, you are probably going to hurt your return.
Good trading,
Mark
